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Sun,May 26,2013
17 Sivan 5773
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Two more hours to go.
Another bit of punditry:-
My (educated) guess?
If Bibi/Lieberman get close to 40 (38-40), if, he'll first go to Lapid, then Shelly then Tzippi. In any case, the aggressive campaign against Bennett indicates Netanyahu does not want a right-wing coalition. He wants a two-state solution proposal left on the table. That is why he'll go to the center-left parties.
He'll tell them that after he forms the core with them, he'll still need Bayit Yehudi or Shas and he will say "I want a broad-based coalition"and then he'll ask Lapid, Livni and Yechimovitz: which is worse for you - chareidim or Yesha communities.
If Likud/Yisrael Beiteinu bloc reach 35-37 only, everything becomes very fluid. Netanyahu doesn't want a right-wing coaltion. He never has created one. Last time, he negotiated with Tzipi but she wouldn't lower herself, foolishly.
It can only get interesting, much more interesting.
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