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And after the elections

 

Two more hours to go.

 

Another bit of punditry:-

 

My (educated) guess?

 

If Bibi/Lieberman get close to 40 (38-40), if, he'll first go to Lapid, then Shelly then Tzippi.  In any case, the aggressive campaign against Bennett indicates Netanyahu does not want a right-wing coalition.  He wants a two-state solution proposal left on the table.  That is why he'll go to the center-left parties.

 

He'll tell them that after he forms the core with them, he'll still need Bayit Yehudi or Shas and he will say "I want a broad-based coalition"and then he'll ask Lapid, Livni and Yechimovitz: which is worse for you - chareidim or Yesha communities.

 

If Likud/Yisrael Beiteinu bloc reach 35-37 only, everything becomes very fluid.  Netanyahu doesn't want a right-wing coaltion.  He never has created one.  Last time, he negotiated with Tzipi but she wouldn't lower herself, foolishly.

 

It can only get interesting, much more interesting.

 

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